Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.002597 0.002769 0.002954 0.003169 0.003414 0.003687 0.004015
2025-01-05 0.002304 0.002532 0.002791 0.003112 0.003506 0.003984 0.004625
2025-01-12 0.002081 0.002331 0.002627 0.003010 0.003507 0.004151 0.005090
2025-01-19 0.001956 0.002226 0.002556 0.003000 0.003605 0.004441 0.005775
2025-01-26 0.001780 0.002042 0.002367 0.002813 0.003436 0.004328 0.005824
2025-02-02 0.001717 0.001993 0.002342 0.002835 0.003553 0.004638 0.006622
2025-02-09 0.001687 0.001981 0.002362 0.002918 0.003765 0.005129 0.007906
2025-02-16 0.001636 0.001938 0.002336 0.002931 0.003868 0.005459 0.009023
2025-02-23 0.001620 0.001939 0.002370 0.003033 0.004124 0.006115 0.011256
2025-03-02 0.001561 0.001879 0.002312 0.002989 0.004131 0.006299 0.012405
2025-03-09 0.001498 0.001809 0.002237 0.002913 0.004072 0.006338 0.013158
2025-03-16 0.001478 0.001799 0.002246 0.002969 0.004253 0.006927 0.016372
2025-03-23 0.001452 0.001781 0.002247 0.003019 0.004445 0.007643 0.021662
2025-03-30 0.001402 0.001726 0.002191 0.002970 0.004442 0.007892 0.025436
2025-04-06 0.001344 0.001659 0.002112 0.002877 0.004341 0.007856 0.027470
2025-04-13 0.001311 0.001626 0.002083 0.002868 0.004410 0.008321 0.035855
2025-04-20 0.001241 0.001537 0.001965 0.002695 0.004117 0.007658 0.030563
2025-04-27 0.001221 0.001520 0.001957 0.002716 0.004237 0.008272 0.043896
2025-05-04 0.001216 0.001523 0.001980 0.002793 0.004492 0.009450 0.097890
2025-05-11 0.001196 0.001505 0.001968 0.002804 0.004602 0.010204 0.267495
2025-05-18 0.001194 0.001513 0.001999 0.002898 0.004923 0.012061 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001165 0.001480 0.001961 0.002858 0.004907 0.012420 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001132 0.001439 0.001910 0.002788 0.004806 0.012318 NaN